News Radar record: every call, right or wrong
Before every big US release, RTC News Radar says where the number will land against the forecast and what it can do to gold. The call is frozen 5 minutes before the release and never edited. This page keeps all of them.
- Frozen before the release
- Never edited
- Right and wrong both stay
Every call, newest first
Core CPI m/mLATEFORECAST0.2%WE SAIDAboveACTUAL0.3%✓ Right
- Producer prices came in above its forecast (5% vs 4.4%). That usually points to a higher CPI number.
- ISM prices paid came in below its forecast (75.2 vs 77.5). That usually points to a lower CPI number.
- Import prices came in above its forecast (1.1% vs 0.8%). That usually points to a higher CPI number.
CPI m/mLATEFORECAST0.3%WE SAIDAboveACTUAL0.4%✓ Right
- Producer prices came in above its forecast (5% vs 4.4%). That usually points to a higher CPI number.
- ISM prices paid came in below its forecast (75.2 vs 77.5). That usually points to a lower CPI number.
- Import prices came in above its forecast (1.1% vs 0.8%). That usually points to a higher CPI number.
Common questions
What is the News Radar record?
The full list of calls made by RTC News Radar for big US releases (CPI, NFP, PPI, retail sales, GDP and more): what we expected against the forecast, the actual number, and whether we were right. Nothing is removed or edited.
How is a call counted?
A call counts only if it was frozen 5 minutes before the release. It is right when the actual number lands on the side of the forecast we said: above, below or in line. Fed rate decisions are read by tone, so they are not scored.
What does LATE mean?
If the radar was offline before a release, the call is worked out afterwards from only the data that existed 5 minutes before it. Those are listed with a LATE tag and never counted in the score.
Is News Radar a trading signal?
No. It is a prediction for learning, with the reasons in plain words. Markets can move against any prediction. The live call before each release is part of RTC Insight.